AccuScore simulations, somewhat surprisingly, have the Cleveland Cavaliers as solid 58 percent favorites tonight over the Utah Jazz. The average score after 10,000 simulations is 103-102.
The Jazz are actually favored by 1 point, but the Cavs have a 58 percent chance of covering the +1 spread. There’s a 56.1 percent chance the total combined score goes over 201.5. Looking at the percentages, the Jazz have a slightly better chance at getting the win if the game is decided < 4 points.
|
Utah Jazz
|
| Forecasts |
PTS |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
FTM |
FTA |
FT% |
3PM |
3PA |
AST |
STL |
TO |
OREB |
TREB |
BLK |
| Paul Millsap |
15.9 |
6.1 |
12.2 |
50% |
3.5 |
4.7 |
75% |
0.2 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
7.5 |
1.1 |
| Gordon Hayward |
15.0 |
5.0 |
11.2 |
44% |
3.7 |
4.4 |
84% |
1.3 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
3.4 |
0.5 |
| Derrick Favors |
14.2 |
5.4 |
11.1 |
49% |
3.3 |
5.0 |
66% |
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
8.7 |
1.8 |
| Enes Kanter |
13.4 |
5.4 |
10.6 |
51% |
2.5 |
3.4 |
74% |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
8.4 |
1.1 |
| Alec Burks |
10.0 |
3.6 |
8.4 |
43% |
2.3 |
3.3 |
69% |
0.6 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
3.5 |
0.3 |
| Randy Foye |
9.7 |
3.3 |
8.2 |
40% |
1.5 |
1.8 |
87% |
1.6 |
3.9 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
| Marvin Williams |
8.0 |
2.9 |
6.5 |
44% |
1.5 |
1.9 |
79% |
0.7 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
3.3 |
0.1 |
| DeMarre Carroll |
6.7 |
2.6 |
5.5 |
48% |
1.2 |
1.5 |
75% |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.9 |
0.1 |
| Earl Watson |
4.2 |
1.6 |
4.1 |
40% |
0.6 |
0.8 |
67% |
0.4 |
1.3 |
3.7 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
2.0 |
0.2 |
| Jamaal Tinsley |
4.2 |
1.6 |
4.1 |
40% |
0.4 |
0.5 |
77% |
0.6 |
1.8 |
3.9 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
0.2 |
| UT Benchwarmers |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
48% |
0.1 |
0.1 |
70% |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| TOTAL |
101.7 |
37.8 |
82.2 |
46% |
20.5 |
27.4 |
75% |
5.8 |
15.1 |
22.6 |
8.3 |
15.7 |
12.7 |
43.5 |
5.6 |
|
|
Cleveland
|
| Forecasts |
PTS |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
FTM |
FTA |
FT% |
3PM |
3PA |
AST |
STL |
TO |
OREB |
TREB |
BLK |
| Kyrie Irving |
25.1 |
8.9 |
18.2 |
49% |
5.3 |
6.1 |
87% |
2.1 |
4.5 |
7.1 |
1.5 |
4.0 |
0.7 |
4.4 |
0.4 |
| Tristan Thompson |
13.0 |
5.1 |
10.5 |
49% |
2.8 |
4.5 |
63% |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
3.5 |
9.5 |
0.9 |
| C.J. Miles |
12.4 |
4.3 |
9.6 |
45% |
2.2 |
2.7 |
80% |
1.6 |
4.2 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
0.1 |
| Marreese Speights |
11.7 |
4.4 |
9.6 |
46% |
2.8 |
3.8 |
74% |
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
6.7 |
0.6 |
| Alonzo Gee |
10.6 |
3.7 |
8.3 |
45% |
2.3 |
3.0 |
76% |
0.9 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
4.8 |
0.1 |
| Wayne Ellington |
9.4 |
3.4 |
7.8 |
44% |
1.3 |
1.4 |
91% |
1.4 |
3.3 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
2.6 |
0.1 |
| Tyler Zeller |
9.0 |
3.4 |
7.6 |
45% |
2.1 |
2.7 |
79% |
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
6.3 |
0.9 |
| Shaun Livingston |
7.5 |
3.0 |
5.9 |
50% |
1.5 |
1.9 |
83% |
0.0 |
0.1 |
3.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
0.5 |
| Luke Walton |
3.2 |
1.4 |
3.4 |
40% |
0.2 |
0.3 |
52% |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
2.3 |
0.1 |
| CLE Benchwarmers |
1.4 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
42% |
0.2 |
0.3 |
80% |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
| TOTAL |
103.3 |
38.1 |
82.2 |
46% |
20.7 |
26.5 |
78% |
6.4 |
16.3 |
22.6 |
7.6 |
15.6 |
11.7 |
42.9 |
3.7 |
|
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So game plan should be double-team Kyrie, collapse in the paint, make CJ beat you from outside?
@jermsguy And, being familiar with the current list of Jazz-killers, CJ would surely hit his career high and set the NBA record for three pointers in a game.
@CanadianBraeden @jermsguy
That would be OK, as long as the Jazz walk away the victors.
Kyrie could be a beast tonight against Mo who has been out for a long time. Burks will need to step it up defensively and allow someone else to hurt us. Looking forward to watching how Favors reacts to last game and expecting a good win in Mo's return. 101-89 Jazz
Cleveland might be on the "rise" so to speak, but the Jazz absolutely must have this. Plus, despite being from Ohio... the Cavs? Seriously? They better pull it out. (even though Uncle Dre... I mean, Kyrie is a FREAK with the ball!)
With Dion Waiters out, hopefully our perimeter guys don't get torched tonight. That means CJ Miles is going to have to NOT go off against his former team.
I predict the Jazz get back on track, with another game full of solid effort from the youngs. 103-96